Архив метки: war in Ukraine

Has the end of the war in Ukraine become inevitable?

автор: ValeryMorozov Опубликовано 2025/07/31

(From the series “Lessons of Unpredictable Wars”)

Part 1

The War of the Dragon

The 12-day war between Israel and Iran was conceived and started as a hybrid war in the form of a special operation by Israel and the United States to destroy Iran’s nuclear program and military and political leadership, and the main result of the war was to be the overthrow of the anti-Israeli and anti-Western regime in Teheran. This war was stopped as soon as it became clear that the goals could not be achieved. Israel was not ready to wage a short but intense modern war, and Israel’s losses were becoming unacceptable. The United States was unable to provide the necessary support to Israel’s air defence to protect Israeli military facilities and cities from Iranian missile attacks.

A truce was concluded, and each side declared its “relative victory.”
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       Zelensky turned the war around

автор: ValeryMorozov Опубликовано 2025/06/06

By striking strategic bombers at airfields deep inside Russia, Zelensky changed not only the course of the war in Ukraine, but also the tactics and strategy of modern warfare. In fact, he turned war upside down, fundamentally changed it as a system of interactions, fighting the enemy with the aim of defeating and destroying him. But he did more than that.

Zelensky tried to disrupt and break the entire “four-handed game” that Trump and Putin had been playing for six months. Trump and Putin were silent for three days, and their silence spoke louder than the statements of their “talking heads” and politicians in the US, Europe, and Russia.

It is likely that Zelensky personally was neither the main author of this operation nor its executor, but without his active participation the final decision to carry out the operation could not have been made.
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Trump’s America and Putin’s Russia

автор: ValeryMorozov Опубликовано 2025/02/22

(From the series “Trump’s America in the New World Order”, Part 6)

The world has experienced a turning point. After the first round of American-Russian negotiations that took place in Saudi Arabia, the system of international relations changed radically, and the world entered a new stage of development.

Analysing the results of the first round of US-Russian negotiations, the following conclusions need to be made:

  1. Donald Trump and his team continue to act, prioritizing the resolution of US domestic problems, including the fastest possible entry into a new technological level of economic development, the creation of a new financial system, and securing America’s role as a world leader.  
  2. Based on his strategic goals, Trump has taken the initiative and the role of leader in the process of forming a new world order. Trump and his team see China and Russia as America’s main competitors for global leadership.

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Times of impossible and inevitable wars

автор: ValeryMorozov Опубликовано 2024/04/25

There are very few state leaders and politicians who view what is happening in the world not as some series of events and emerging problems, but as one single process. If the interconnections of events lie on the surface and cannot be ignored, most of politicians react according to the principle:

If you face new problem – find the enemy – save yourself, destroy your enemy – portray yourself as victim or winner, or better, as both.

There are no attempts to understand reasons of events and problems, and that is one of the main reasons why military conflicts are emerging and multiplying in the world, and major powers struggle to take conflicts under control, but unable to resolve them.

Everyone feels that the world has entered new era, but behave, think and act as if no significant changes have taken place in the world over the past four hundred years.
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The Ukrainian Trap, part 1

автор: ValeryMorozov Опубликовано 2024/03/29

Wars rarely develop, much less end, the way wars had been planned by those who started them. More often than not, the results of wars had little in common with intentions of their planners, and often the results and consequences of wars turned out to be completely opposite to intentions of war participants.

Moreover, with the growing role of civilizations in the international relations, wars become not only more unpredictable, but tun into traps for those who start them or get involved in them.

Politicians and officials start wars between states, out of state interests, but these wars quickly turn into conflicts between civilizations, and finding ways out of intercivilizational wars within the framework of interstate relations turns out to be not only extremely difficult, but sometimes impossible.

Those wars turn out to be traps for states, their political leaders and peoples.
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