Валерий Морозов

The ceasefire in the Middle East is merely a pause, masking tectonic shifts in the region’s structure. While most analysts skim the surface, discussing the interests of the US, Iran, or Israel, they ignore the most critical factor: the fate of the Gulf Monarchies.

1. Reformatting the Owners of Oil

The Gulf Monarchies have traditionally been the masters of their resources, but today they are ceasing to be sovereign subjects in the «Great Game.» One of the unspoken goals of the current conflicts is the transformation—or removal—of these archaic structures. Oil must pass under the direct control of Transnational Corporations (TNCs).

It is vital to understand the difference: TNCs are not state bureaucratic machines (like those in Russia), but structures with millions of shareholders and strict personal accountability for top management. This is why it is easier for the US to work with China than with Russian state corporations, where the leadership, protected by clan interests, bears no responsibility for systemic failures.
(далее…)

Today, the question is being asked with increasing urgency: Is the world on the brink of World War III, or has it already begun? Figures like Ukraine’s GUR Chief Kyrylo Budanov and several Western analysts suggest that a large-scale global conflict was ignited by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Others view current events as a series of regional wars. To understand the true nature of these developments, we must look beyond the mere recitation of facts and apply a systems approach.

Bogdanov’s Tectology: Equilibrium vs. Absorption

To analyze macro-regions (USA, China, Russia, India) as systems, it is worth revisiting the ideas of Alexander Bogdanov—a preeminent thinker of the early 20th century and the founder of Tectology (the science of universal organization). Bogdanov anticipated cybernetics and systems theory by decades, yet his ideas were suppressed by Leninist dogma, which stunted the development of Soviet cybernetics and genetics for a generation.
(далее…)

We are witnessing processes that are fundamentally reshaping the world. Often, we perceive them as isolated incidents, failing to grasp their true essence and scale.

Digital Resistance and the Collapse of the «Old Guard»

A striking example of this collision between the old and the new was the attempt to block Telegram in Russia. This was not merely a technical incident; it was a conflict between a stagnant bureaucracy and the people. The authorities attempted to construct a «digital concentration camp,» only to be met with reality: the state could only manage to restrict 15% of Telegram users. The remaining 85% possessed the skills and intelligence to bypass the fences and, figuratively speaking, laugh at the «camp guards.»

The Telegram block has failed. Despite all government efforts, 65 million Russians are still able to use Telegram.

Furthermore, the actions of state «enforcers»—driven largely by self-interest—led to chaos in places they never expected.
(далее…)