Валерий Морозов

The majority of analysts and politicians in the US, Europe, Russia, and Ukraine alike view geopolitics as if it were a Hollywood action movie. In their mind’s eye, three superheroes have clashed on stage: Xi Jinping, Donald Trump, and Vladimir Putin. It appears as though each is fighting exclusively for personal or narrow national interests, and the entire question boils down to who will outweigh whom in power, who will outmaneuver whom on the tactical field, and how they will ultimately strike a deal.

This picture is fundamentally flawed. The chief mistake of observers is a total failure to understand that these leaders represent far more than just distinct political factions and nations; they represent fundamentally different civilizations driven by polar-opposite types of managerial mindsets.

Let us examine these differences.

1. Russia: The Archetype of Survival, Incineration, and Reassembly

While Western states were built over centuries around monarchies, law, urban self-governance, trade, and capital, Russia coalesced around a single existential question: how to survive in a vast, open space where a threat can strike from almost any direction.
(далее…)

US President Donald Trump’s recent visit to China and his talks with Xi Jinping have become one of the most quietly ignored, yet fundamentally crucial events in modern global politics. While the world’s leading media chose to limit themselves to superficial reports, a tectonic shift has begun behind the ceremonial facades.

These negotiations did not merely pit two superpowers against each other; they brought face-to-face two fundamentally different civilizational approaches to managing the planet.

1. The Iranian Gambit and Trump’s Psychology

On the eve of the Beijing visit, Iran sent a package of compromise proposals to the White House, which Donald Trump demonstratively rejected. To understand this move, one must grasp Trump’s business psychology as an intensive, Western-style negotiator.

Trump had no need to approve the Iranian initiatives prior to meeting with Xi Jinping. On the contrary, by creating maximum artificial tension around Tehran, he was raising the stakes.
(далее…)

Недавний визит президента США Дональда Трампа в Китай и его переговоры с Си Цзиньпином стали одним из самых замалчиваемых, но в то же время фундаментальных событий в современной мировой политике. Ведущие мировые СМИ предпочли ограничиться поверхностными отчетами, однако за парадными фасадами скрывается начало тектонического сдвига.

В этих переговорах столкнулись не просто две сверхдержавы, а два принципиально разных цивилизационных подхода к управлению планетой.

1. Иранский гамбит и психология Трампа

Накануне визита в Пекин Иран направил Белому дому пакет компромиссных предложений, который Дональд Трамп демонстративно отверг. Чтобы понять этот шаг, необходимо знать бизнес-психологию Трампа как переговорщика западного, интенсивного типа.

Трампу не нужно было одобрять иранские инициативы до встречи с Си Цзиньпином. Напротив, создавая максимальное искусственное напряжение вокруг Тегерана, он повышал ставки. Его тактика — загнать оппонентов и партнеров в ситуацию неопределенности, заставить их нервничать и искать компромиссы на американских условиях.

При этом ключевым игроком в решении ближневосточного кризиса для Вашингтона являлся именно Китай.
(далее…)

On May 5, an interesting event took place in Yerevan that appeared to many as merely a large-scale diplomatic show. However, the reality was far more intriguing and significant. In Armenia—a country that is a member of the CSTO and hosts Russian military bases and border guards—an impressive landing party of Western leaders arrived. Heads of state from the EU, Canada, and the United Kingdom all gathered there.

The situation looked paradoxical: Yerevan hosted leaders of states that are effectively waging a proxy war against Russia by supporting Ukraine. Moreover, the Prime Minister of Armenia signed a strategic partnership agreement with the United Kingdom—similar to the one London previously concluded with Kyiv.

An Informal Bloc on CSTO Territory

A new informal alliance essentially assembled in Armenia. Loud statements were made claiming that Yerevan has become «almost independent» from Moscow. French President Emmanuel Macron openly declared that Armenia is liberating itself from Russian influence and that it is time to develop relations and admit the country into the European Union.
(далее…)