A series of recent events indicate, first, that Russia and the nations of the Global South believe the West—particularly Europe— is losing the war in Ukraine; second, that the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) is entering the war in Europe on Russia’s side; and third, that the Big 4 has been formed, with Trump positioning himself and the United States not merely as the leader of the West, but as the leader of this new bloc.

To explain and substantiate these conclusions, I will write a series of articles and produce several videos for my YouTube channel, *Valery Morozov: Dialogue of Civilizations*. I will begin today with a crucial aspect that many seem to misunderstand that is causing politicians to make strategic errors and delay critical decisions, a trend especially visible among the leaders of the EU and Western European nations.

This failure to comprehend the new reality is fueling internal political crises that threaten great European civilization, the very existence of the EU, and the system of Western democracy.
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